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Sports Handicappers - The dreadful truth

By: Rich Allen

Did you recognize that the majority sports handicappers don't win their clients money over time? The numbers are pretty simple. 50% of the bets on average are right, and 50% are wrong. In order to break even, you need to win 52.7% of your bets. Over time, most handicappers don't cover that mark. There are a few ways to divide the good from the bad however:
- Does your handicapper claim privileged information? I would doubt any handicapper claiming to have an insider's edge. In this competitive world, no one has any inside data worth knowing. Even if you knew a trainer with inside info (yeah right, any trainer would get fired if an association with a professional gambler was ever to come out) would that foretell whether team A would allow a garbage touchdown allowing team B to cover? Just check your favorite sports reporter's betting record over time, I'd almost guarantee they aren't willing to quit their reporting job to become a gambler and no one has more info than a beat reporter.
- Does you handicapper holler and shout? This is never a good sign when it comes to actual gambling records. What are they trying to mask by drawing attention to all of their yelling and screaming?
- Does you handicapper follow a statistical system. This is a worthy sign. The only way to exploit incorrect point spreads is to be totally rational and pay no heed to any subjective information. Numbers are numbers and they never lie. Mathmatical based handicappers have established over time that they can maintain a statistical gain, and they do this by staying away from any opinions, biases or who their favorite team is. Over time, you would be prudent to put your loyalty in someone who analyzes home and away teams records in certain point spread situations. If you were to find out that in College football, that the home underdog only covers 41% of the time when getting 5 points, wouldn't that be more beneficial information than whether your handicapper thinks a star QB will tear up his opponent's cover 2 formation and cover an 11 point spread?
While several handicappers are charlatans, you can make decent money with a statistically based sports handicapper. Throw biases out the window and let the numbers make your bets… You will be richer for it.

Rich Allen

Article Source: http://www.gambling-articles.org

Rich Allen is owner of the Sports Betting Professor website www.sportsbettingprofessor.com. 2 years ago he hired an actual PhD Statistician to develop a quantitative system to win consistently betting on American Football, NBA Basketball, College Football and Major League Baseball. His results have been stellar. The Average Guy, Can Learn The Secrets Of His Sports Betting System And Propel To Unthinkable Winnings For Life!"

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